Pre-tourney Rankings
Fresno St.
Western Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#177
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#210
Pace61.5#299
Improvement-0.1#173

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#199
Improvement-2.7#292

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#165
Improvement+2.6#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 101   Illinois St. W 55-47 42%     1 - 0 +9.4 -13.7 +23.6
  Nov 14, 2011 64   @ Stanford L 59-75 14%     1 - 1 -5.2 -5.5 +0.1
  Nov 15, 2011 181   SMU W 54-52 51%     2 - 1 +1.1 -7.0 +8.5
  Nov 21, 2011 127   Manhattan L 83-85 37%     2 - 2 +0.6 +5.4 -4.6
  Nov 22, 2011 171   Texas San Antonio L 79-83 48%     2 - 3 -4.3 +1.4 -5.4
  Nov 26, 2011 164   @ North Dakota St. L 65-78 34%     2 - 4 -9.4 -9.1 -0.1
  Dec 03, 2011 296   Utah W 82-52 85%     3 - 4 +18.2 +18.1 +5.0
  Dec 07, 2011 86   @ Colorado L 64-71 18%     3 - 5 +2.1 +1.8 -0.1
  Dec 10, 2011 66   @ Oregon L 70-74 14%     3 - 6 +6.7 +2.6 +4.0
  Dec 17, 2011 172   Cal Poly L 46-65 62%     3 - 7 -22.7 -19.3 -7.8
  Dec 19, 2011 134   @ Boise St. L 63-70 27%     3 - 8 -1.3 -6.5 +5.1
  Dec 21, 2011 225   @ Arizona St. W 68-65 47%     4 - 8 +3.0 +7.7 -4.1
  Dec 29, 2011 271   @ Pacific W 55-47 58%     5 - 8 +5.1 -10.6 +17.1
  Jan 02, 2012 134   Boise St. W 72-59 51%     6 - 8 +11.9 +12.8 +1.8
  Jan 05, 2012 133   @ Utah St. L 53-72 27%     6 - 9 0 - 1 -13.2 -9.1 -7.8
  Jan 07, 2012 150   @ Idaho L 59-63 30%     6 - 10 0 - 2 +0.7 -4.1 +4.2
  Jan 12, 2012 210   Hawaii L 68-74 OT 69%     6 - 11 0 - 3 -11.8 -10.5 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2012 263   San Jose St. W 82-73 80%     7 - 11 1 - 3 -0.4 +4.7 -4.9
  Jan 21, 2012 100   @ Nevada L 61-74 20%     7 - 12 1 - 4 -4.7 -4.6 -0.7
  Jan 26, 2012 185   @ Louisiana Tech L 58-59 39%     7 - 13 1 - 5 +1.1 -0.1 +1.0
  Jan 28, 2012 50   @ New Mexico St. L 56-60 12%     7 - 14 1 - 6 +7.9 -5.7 +13.1
  Feb 02, 2012 150   Idaho W 65-55 55%     8 - 14 2 - 6 +7.9 -2.0 +11.3
  Feb 04, 2012 133   Utah St. W 60-54 51%     9 - 14 3 - 6 +5.0 -4.7 +10.8
  Feb 09, 2012 263   @ San Jose St. L 71-79 2OT 57%     9 - 15 3 - 7 -10.6 -8.4 -1.8
  Feb 11, 2012 210   @ Hawaii L 58-62 44%     9 - 16 3 - 8 -3.0 -9.9 +6.5
  Feb 18, 2012 305   @ Cal St. Northridge W 62-49 71%     10 - 16 +6.7 -12.6 +20.0
  Feb 23, 2012 223   Seattle W 78-72 72%     11 - 16 -0.7 -4.8 +3.5
  Feb 25, 2012 100   Nevada L 76-79 3OT 42%     11 - 17 3 - 9 -1.6 -9.3 +8.3
  Mar 01, 2012 185   Louisiana Tech L 70-75 65%     11 - 18 3 - 10 -9.7 -2.8 -7.0
  Mar 03, 2012 50   New Mexico St. L 78-83 OT 29%     11 - 19 3 - 11 +0.1 -2.8 +3.5
  Mar 08, 2012 50   New Mexico St. L 49-65 19%     11 - 20 -7.5 -11.0 +0.6
Projected Record 11.0 - 20.0 3.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11 100.0% 100.0
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%